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🏆 Tournament Summary
- Category: ATP 500
- Surface: Outdoor Hard Court (DecoTurf)
- Location: William H.G. FitzGerald Tennis Center, Washington, D.C.
- Prize Money: $2.39 million
- Draw Size: 48 Singles Players
This event kicks off the US Open Series, serving as a crucial build-up to Cincinnati and Flushing Meadows. Top players use this tournament to test hard-court readiness and lock in Race to Turin points.
🔥 Quarterfinal Lineup (as of July 25)
| Match | Players | Betting Edge |
|---|---|---|
| QF1 | Taylor Fritz (1) vs Brandon Nakashima (14) | Fritz holds a 3–0 H2H edge. High 1st-serve % (86%). |
| QF2 | Ben Shelton (4) vs Corentin Moutet (LL) | Shelton leads in aces (38). Moutet is 1st lucky loser in D.C. quarters since 2016. |
| QF3 | Frances Tiafoe (6) vs Davidovich Fokina (12) | Tiafoe has won 9 of last 11 hard-court matches at home. |
| QF4 | Daniil Medvedev (8) vs Alex de Minaur (7) | Medvedev leads H2H 4–2. Last match: Paris Indoors, 2023. |
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📊 Key Stats & Trends
| Statistic | Player | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Fastest Serve | Ben Shelton | 134 mph |
| Most Aces | Ben Shelton | 38 in 2 matches |
| Best Break Point Conversion | Taylor Fritz | 11/20 (55%) |
| Top Crowd Favourite | Tiafoe | Hometown hero (Hyattsville, MD) |
✔️ 4 of 8 quarterfinalists are Americans.
✔️ Lucky loser Moutet beat Dan Evans in straight sets.
✔️ 18-year-old Learner Tien upset Rublev – biggest shock of the tournament.
🔍 Tactical Notes
- Shelton’s lefty serve is lethal in fast conditions – markets undervalue him indoors, but on DecoTurf, he thrives.
- Medvedev is peaking early this hard-court swing – he’s lost just 9 games in 2 matches.
- Tiafoe is playing in front of friends and family – huge emotional boost in previous D.C. runs.
📅 Next Matches to Watch – July 26–27
- Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima
- Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur
- Ben Shelton vs Corentin Moutet
- Frances Tiafoe vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
💡 Betting Insight: Shelton & Medvedev are early value picks to meet in the final. Use Cloudbet for futures + live in-play wagering.
🧠 Did You Know?
- Andre Agassi holds the tournament record: 5 titles.
- Sebastian Korda, 2024 winner, ended an 18-year drought for American champions.
- If Tiafoe wins, he’ll become the first Washington-born champion in the Open Era.
- The tournament has increased prize money by 14% this year – the biggest jump since 2015.
🧾 Betting Tips (Powered by Stats)
| Match | Pick | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Fritz vs Nakashima | Fritz -2.5 games | Strong hold %, better under pressure |
| Shelton vs Moutet | Over 22.5 games | Lefty vs lefty matchup, Moutet can frustrate |
| Medvedev vs De Minaur | Medvedev 2-0 sets | Excellent form, dominant return stats |
| Tiafoe vs ADF | Over 2.5 sets | Crowd pressure, both erratic baseliners |
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🏁 Final Word
This year’s Mubadala Citi DC Open is bursting with American talent, big-serving action, and emotional stories. With players ramping up their hard-court rhythm, expect fireworks heading into the semifinals.
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