SPORTS NEWS & TIPS

, , , ,

Tips – Malta v Lithuania

Malta vs Lithuania – World Cup Qualifier Preview & Prediction (June 7, 2025) Malta and Lithuania face off today at the National Stadium in Ta’ Qali in a crucial UEFA Group G World Cup qualifier. Both teams are seeking their first win in the campaign, making this encounter pivotal for their aspirations. 🧮 Head-to-Head Record…

Ulti MED
1–2 minutes
, , , ,

Malta vs Lithuania – World Cup Qualifier Preview & Prediction (June 7, 2025)

Malta and Lithuania face off today at the National Stadium in Ta’ Qali in a crucial UEFA Group G World Cup qualifier. Both teams are seeking their first win in the campaign, making this encounter pivotal for their aspirations.

🧮 Head-to-Head Record

The two nations have clashed six times since 2002:

  • Malta wins: 1
  • Lithuania wins: 2
  • Draws: 3

Their last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw during the 2018 World Cup qualifiers.

📊 Recent Form & Statistics

Malta

  • Winless in their last three matches, with two consecutive losses.
  • Scored only 0.3 goals per game in their last six competitive fixtures.
  • Conceded 0.8 goals per game on average.
  • Maintained four clean sheets in their last six matches.

Lithuania

  • Winless in their last nine games across all competitions.
  • Suffered seven losses in that span.
  • Averaged 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.8.
  • Managed a 2-2 draw against Finland in their most recent match.

🚑 Team News & Suspensions

Malta

  • Will be without Ilyas Chouaref, Kurt Shaw, and Gabriel Mentz due to suspensions.

Lithuania

  • No major injuries or suspensions reported.

🔥 Motivation & Stakes

Both teams are desperate for a win to keep their World Cup hopes alive. Malta, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on familiar surroundings, while Lithuania seeks to end their winless streak and gain momentum in the group.

📈 Model Prediction

Given the current form and statistics:

  • Malta win: 35% probability
  • Draw: 36% probability
  • Lithuania win: 29% probability

The match is expected to be low-scoring, with both teams struggling offensively.

💰 Betting Odds & Value Analysis

  • Malta win: 2.75 (Implied probability: 36.4%)
  • Draw: 2.70 (Implied probability: 37.0%)
  • Lithuania win: 3.25 (Implied probability: 30.8%)

Considering the probabilities, a draw offers slight value, aligning closely with the model’s prediction.

✅ Final Prediction

Scoreline: Malta 1-1 Lithuania

Betting Tip: Draw at 2.70 odds.

Given both teams’ recent struggles and similar strengths and weaknesses, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome in this encounter.

Leave a comment

Trending